Thursday, October 18, 2012

Week 7: Heroes, Bums, and Sleepers

Heroes:

1) Eli Manning (QB - NYG)
Had a relatively quiet game last week while Alex Smith did his best Kyle Williams impression. I don't expect the Redskins to hand the game away, so expect tons of points on the reality and fantasy scoreboards. Eli should thrash that embarrassing Redskins secondary, and Ahmad Bradshaw's developing injury means the Giants will go light on the ground game this week.

2) Denarius Moore (WR - OAK)
Remember over the summer when Carson Palmer had all those glowing comments for Denarius Moore? Now that Moore's healthy, I'm apt to believe Palmer. The two were electric last week against the Falcons, with Moore posting a statline of 5-104-1 on 9 targets. That's great. What's better is the fact that now Moore gets to go up against a defense that gave up 20.8 PPG to opposing wideouts before losing their top safety.

3) Felix Jones (RB - DAL)
Felix Jones is the fantasy equivalent of an unfaithful woman who swears again and again that she's ready to commit. Felix looks pretty on draftboards and on waivers, yet as soon as you invite him into your lineup, the pangs of regret swell from within. However, this week against Carolina's silly run defense (ranked 28th against RBs; has surrendered at least 92 yards rushing to every backfield), I can see Felix posting triple-figures and a TD. Don't get swept away though--dump him or sell high as soon as this Carolina game is over.


Bums:

1) Every offensive player involved in the Seahawks/49ers game
Offenses typically sputter on Thursday nights to begin with, and now you're telling me that two elite defenses have the mid-week game? Don't start anyone other than Defenses and Kickers. I expect San Fran to win, so maybe you could talk me into Frank Gore. Absolutely no Seahawks though. You can't run on the Niners, and Russell Wilson can't throw on anyone (I'm not sold on his performance against the Patriots. No way do the Niners allow Wilson to chuck deep balls on them).

2) James Jones (WR - GB)
There's been a trend in his stats the past three weeks: 17, 16, 15. Sure, you might say you'd take 14  points if that trend were to continue, but allow me to rain and pour on the James Jones parade: Jones has had two TDs in each of the past three games. It's a remarkable streak, but when you factor out those TDs, your left with 5, 4, and 3 points-worth of yardage, respectively. So if you're plugging James Jones in your lineup, you'd better be damned sure he'll catch touchdowns. Otherwise, you'll groan at the sight of his 4 catch, 34 yard performance. And against a solid Ram defense, I feel this is the week he has one of those ugly stat-lines.

3) Mikel Leshoure (RB - DET)
Jahvid Best won't be back, but timeshares were never the concern with Leshoure. Even though Stafford's stats are down this year (4 passing TDs in 5 games), this is still a pass-heavy offense. And against the Bears defense, which hasn't allowed a backfield to crack 90 yards rushing, I can't endorse Leshoure. At best he's bye-week filler.


Sleepers:

1) Josh Freeman (QB - TB)
Drew Brees will throw at least four TDs on Sunday against a terrible Tampa secondary. Without question. But that does raise the question: will Josh Freeman be able to keep up? He'll have an easy match-up, and I can't see him throwing less than two TDs in this one. Tampa will be down and throwing.

2) Kenny Britt (WR - TEN)
Getting healthier every week, as are his statlines. Last year he was unquestionably Hasselbeck's favorite WR, and that connection is heating up again. This week Britt faces an atrocious Buffalo secondary that gave up 200 yards to the Niners' and Jets' receivers. Buffalo has also given up at least one TD to every receiving corp they've encountered.

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