Heroes:
1) CJ Spiller (RB - BUF)
He's gonna pop this week. I was a week premature with my prediction of a monster game from Spiller (he still had 13 points in a standard league), but he's due to explode tonight at home against Miami. With Fred Jackson out and Buffalo's receiving corps banged-up, Spiller should net 150 total yards and--let's go bold--two TDs.
And while we're on the subject of Buffalo, when the hell is Chan Gailey going to wake up and realize that Fred Jackson is 80 years old and as fumble-prone as they come? If Joe Philbin is willing to sit Reggie Bush for the entire game after a fumble, why can't Gailey drop the same punishment on Jackson? Otherwise, Spiller's best years are just going to waste.
2) Steve Smith (WR - CAR)
Only one TD on the season so far, but I like Steve Smith against bad pass defenses. And Tampa has an atrocious pass defense. Tampa also has a high-scoring offense (no less than 28 points in a game since their Bye week), so this one has shootout writing all over it. 100 yards and a TD for Smith.
3) Andy Dalton (QB - CIN)
Calling it right now: Andy Dandy will be a Top 5 QB next year. Pencil him in as your 8th round pick and thank me around New Year's 2014. As for this weekend, Dalton gets to shred/maul/annihilate/etc. an abysmal Chiefs secondary that has given up at least 2 TDs in seven of nine games this year. Andy Dandy had four TDs last week, and he's playing a team that is on a short week following a gut-crunching overtime loss.
Busts:
1) Brandon Marshall and Matt Forte (WR and RB - CHI)
Forte has a horrific match-up, and I just can't trust Brandon Marshall. Sooner or later defenses will have to give him the Calvin Johnson treatment (aka triple coverage) and see if the other homeless men posing as Bears WRs can produce. This week I don't like Marshall for three reasons: 1) a lack of Jay Cutler (although Jason Campbell looked quite serviceable against Houston); 2) the 49ers defense (which I realize can be beaten through the air--but honestly, after Marshall was the only player with more than 10 receiving yards for Chicago last week, how can't you build your defensive strategy around snuffing him out?); and 3) the inevitable lack of a run game.
2) Ryan Tannehill (QB - MIA)
He's a sexy bye week filler pick because he gets to face the Bills, but there's no reason why you should trust a rookie QB on the road on Thurday night. Even against the Bills. Dig deeper on waivers if you're still desperate for a QB.
Sleepers:
1) Dwayne Allen (TE - IND)
It's almost closing time at the Dwayne Allen Fantasy Sleeper Lounge, so please sneak in for a last second drink before Coby Fleener shuts the place down. Pull up a stool and we can discuss how this week's Colts/Pats game will be a shootout, with the Patriots surrendering the 4th most points to fantasy TEs.
2) Mohamed Sanu (WR - CIN)
A buddy of mine talked up Sanu during the offseason, and I'm starting to drink the Kool-Aid. Last week Sanu was second on the team in targets (6), catches (4), and yards (47). He also tacked on a TD and got Andy Dandy talking during the week about his reliability as a WR. Sanu should have a decent encore, and if KC decides to key-in on AJ Green, Sanu could post WR2 numbers.
3) Rams D/ST
Mark Sanchez.
That's it. That's my write-up for the Rams D/ST this week. Oh? You want more? Let's try it again.
Mark Sanchez, on the road.
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