Wednesday, September 12, 2012

Week 2: Explosions, Busts, and Sleepers

Take a well-earned sigh of relief. The cloudiest week in fantasy is now behind us. Among the Week 1 fantasy revelations: RG3 wants to be the next Cam Newton, C.J. Spiller averages thrice as many yards per rush as CJ2K does per game, and a healthy Peyton Manning likes an even spread of targets for Decker, Thomas, and Tamme. In the spirit of suprise and disappointment, let's launch the Week 2 edition of Explosions, Busts, and Sleepers.

Week 2 Explosions (Consistent guys bound to go off this week)

1. Brandon Marshall (CHI - WR)
He's an obvious start if you own him in a league, but if you're doing a weekly salary contest or a pick 'em, he should be top choice at WR. The revival of the Cutler-Marshall connection drew a lot of preseason hype, and if you invested in Marshall, you got a solid payout in Week 1: 9 catches, 119 yards, and a TD. He's clearly Jay Cutler's favorite target, and this week Marshall faces the Packers secondary in a game that's sure to be a shootout. If the Bears are going to win this game, they have to score somewhere in the neighborhood of 34-38 points. Expect double-digit catches and 2 TDs for Marshall on Thursday night.

2. Eric Decker (DEN - WR)
Decker is another WR who will find himself in a shootout this week. Against the Steelers, Decker caught 5 balls for 54 yards on 7 targets. One of the incompletions came in the endzone during a contested play. It's no secret that Peyton has admired Decker's ability since the 2011 draft, and now he'll put that slick route running to good use. It's not out of the question for Peyton Manning to throw 4 TDs Monday night in the Georgia Dome. With Demaryius Thomas drawing the eyes of the secondary, expect Decker to hit paydirt twice this week.

3. Doug Martin (TB - RB)
All summer long we heard the panic sirens ringing around the Cowboys offensive line. Then Week 1 arrived and Demarco Murray gashed the Giants defense for 131 yards on 20 carries. If a bad Cowboys o-line can open things up, imagine what the Bucs' improved line will do. Expect gaudy numbers for young Doug Martin this week against the Giants. Martin ran for 94 yards last week against the Panthers, and his only knock was that he got stuffed during three chances on the goalline. He should punch one in this week and chew up the field in the process.

Week 2 Busts (Guys bound to perform below expectations)

1. Pierre Garcon (WAS - WR)
Garcon had a monster stat-line in RG3's debut, but 88 of his 109 receiving yards came on one long TD catch. If you're expecting Garcon to be a consistent fantasy option, stop. For as impressive as RG3's debut was, he attempted only 26 passes (in a game in which the Skins scored 40, no less), and Garcon wasn't even the most-targeted WR. This week the Redskins face a Rams secondary that kept Calvin Johnson out of the endzone. Oh, and the Rams held Matthew Stafford without a TD pass until the "bonus time" at the end of the game, courtesy of the refs. Temper your expectations for RG3 as well.

2. Dez Bryant and Miles Austin (DAL - WR)
Can you believe it? It's Week 2 and we're still waiting on our first Tony Romo debacle of the season. On Sunday the Cowboys have to deal with the Seahawks and their infamous home field advantage. Seattle's defense was ranked #1 against the pass last season, and they held Larry Fitzgerald to 4 catches on 11 targets last week. Sure, we're talking about the Cardinals and their abysmal QB situation, but it's hard to argue against a secondary loaded with Pro Bowlers. Lower your hopes for the Dez/Austin combo and possibly roll the dice on Ogletree if you're feeling lucky.

Week 2 Sleepers (Off-the-radar guys who could surprise this week)

1. Dexter McCluster (KC - RB/WR)
Lost among the flaming  ruins of the Kansas City Chiefs last week was the fact that Dexter McCluster put in a solid day at the office as a slot receiver. Glad to finally see the Chiefs utilizing McCluster as more than a gimmick. He grabbed 6 balls for 82 yards on a whopping 10 targets, and believe it or not 5 of those targets came prior to garbage time. By comparison, Dwayne Bowe was targeted 6 times. Expect McCluster to continue seeing the ball come his way in the slot, and I think a TD is on tap against a Bills defense that got humiliated by Mark Sanchez.

2. Vikings Defense/Special Teams
Brandon Weeden and Ryan Tannehill were so terrible last week that Andrew Luck's 4 turnovers went virtually unnoticed. That being said, I can see the Vikings garnering at least another 2 turnovers and a few sacks. If you get points for return yardage, remember you're getting Percy Harvin on kick returns.

3. Alshon Jeffery (CHI - WR)
Jay Cutler trash-talked the Packers secondary this week, saying, "Good luck." After Brandon Marshall snags a TD or two, the Packers should zero-in on the superstar, leaving the rookie Jeffery to post another solid stat-line. The Bears talked up Jeffery in the offseason, and it's realistic to see him passing off Devin Hester and Easy Earl Bennett sooner than later.

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